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Reopening states to cause 233,000 more people to die by June from coronavirus

Open the economy for workers to die. Does this make any sense? What are your thoughts?

New data from the University of Pennsylvania suggests that relaxing lockdowns across U.S. cities and states could have serious consequences for the country’s battle to contain the coronavirus, which has infected over a million people while killing more than 66,000 people.

According to the Penn Wharton Budget Model (PWBM), reopening states will result in an additional 233,000 deaths from the virus — even if states don’t reopen at all and with social distancing rules in place. This means that if the states were to reopen, 350,000 people in total would die from coronavirus by the end of June, the study found.

Kent Smetters, the PWBM’s director, said the decision to reopen states is ultimately a “normative judgement that comes down to the statistical value of life.”

He explained: “That’s not a crude way of saying we put a dollar value on life, but it’s the idea that people will take risks all the time for economic reward.”

That figure far surpasses estimates and models that the White House has cited from the University of Washington, which put the death toll at roughly 73,000 by the start of August.

The U.S. economy is reeling as statewide lockdowns have thrown 30 million Americans out of their jobs, and stoked a furious debate about how long the restrictions can remain in place. Some states, like Georgia, are choosing to partially reopen, allowing businesses like restaurants, hair salons, massage parlors, and more to open again.

However, partially reopening would also cause the death toll to rise, the university’s data found. An additional 45,000 lives would be lost, according to Wharton’s Budget Model, bringing the U.S.’s death toll from COVID-19 to 222,000.

However, the policy of reopening states would provide a much needed economic boost, according to the model.

“Almost all net job losses between May 1 and June 30 would be eliminated,” the report found.

To date, more than 1.1 million are infected by the virus, and over 65,000 have died.
To date, more than 1.1 million are infected by the virus, and over 65,000 have died.

Keeping stay at home orders in place would result in a growth contraction of 11.6% year over year, the data found, but opening the states would curb some of that decline somewhat, paring back the downturn to 10.1% year over year.

However, Wharton’s data found that the state lockdowns will result in a more dramatic increase in unemployment, boosting the total of unemployed to nearly 50 million. A partial reopening would partly blunt that impact, but not by much.

In a bright spot for the plan to open states, the PWBM projects that almost all net job losses would be eliminated.

The model aims to quantify the trade-off to the economic benefits of reopening states amid the coronavirus pandemic that has killed nearly 240,000 people worldwide, with some 60,000 deaths in the United States. 

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One thought on “Reopening states to cause 233,000 more people to die by June from coronavirus

  1. Whoever believes 200,000 plus people will die if the states are reopened are fucking idiots!!! The dumbass politicians never should have stuck their nose in business they obviously know nothing about. You can thank your politicians for everyone losing their jobs and fucking up the American dollar. They should have left this to the people who know what they are doing and they go to school for THE MEDICAL FIELD! Since when do politicians go to medical school and graduate? They don’t. So why should they be allowed to close the country down over something they know nothing about?

    This is for the public who is stupid enough to believe we should have to wear mask and stay home. Stay home then. No one wants your dumbass out in public anyway. Your mask do nothing but make you look like complete idiots. I bet these are the dumbass’s from school that actually held a bag open and stood in the woods going snipe hunting. In other words you believe any rediculous ass bullshit anyone tells you. John Hopkins is rolling over in his grave using his name to spread your bullshit lies.
    Message to America…. Wake up you fucking idiots! Better wake up soon or we will be the next Venezuela!

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